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Ahead of a busy week on the calendar for the pair, the price is craving out firm support at the start of the week so far, but on a break below, the bears will be looking to engage.
The following illustrates the medium-term prospects and the near term structure leading into today's key event in Chinese Caixin China Manufacturing PM, released by Markit Economics.
As per the Chart of the Week: AUD/USD bears back in play, the bearish engulfing close is highly bearish for the opening sessions this week:
However, there is stubborn support that needs to break before the bears can engage.
From a lower time frame, taking the 4-hour perspective, the price needs to break and close below 0.7330:
With that being said, a break of hourly support could be enough to trigger the downside:
A illustrated, the price is capped by resistance and the confluence of the 38.2% Fibo, reached, and the bearish 10-EMA.
A break of the dynamic support and the latest hourly lows at 0.7341 could lead to a downside hourly continuation for a fresh low in the 0.7320s.